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Future of the Azerbaijani Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

  • Published Date: 14 Dec 2018
  • Number of Pages: 63
  • Category: Defense
  • Country: Azerbaijan
Future of the Azerbaijani Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Summary

"Future of the Azerbaijani Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023", published by GlobalData, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

This report offers detailed analysis of the Azerbaijani defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
- The Azerbaijani defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Azerbaijani defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities:list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Azerbaijani defense industry.

Scope

- Azerbaijans defense budget stands at US$1.7 billion in 2018, having registered a CAGR of -17.86% during the historic period. Although the budget remained fairly constant in local currency terms, it declined in US dollar terms due to fluctuations in the exchange rate.

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Azerbaijan defense industry market trends for the coming five years
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
- Profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers . This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
- A deep qualitative analysis of the Azerbaijan defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Key Trends , and latest industry contracts.
Publisher Name : GlobalData

1. Introduction 6
1.1. What is this Report About? 6
1.2. Definitions 6
1.3. Summary Methodology 8
1.4. About GlobalData 9
2. Executive Summary 10
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 12
3.1. Current Market Conditions 13
3.1.1. Military Fleet Size 13
3.1.2. Procurement Programs 18
3.1.3. Key Drivers and Challenges 19
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 20
3.2.1. Azerbaijani defense budget to record a CAGR of 5.27% over the forecast period 20
3.2.2. Constant state of dispute with Armenia and military modernization are expected to be the key factors driving defense expenditure 23
3.2.3. The defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase over the forecast period 24
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 26
3.3.1. Procurement of advanced equipment to drive capital expenditure allocation over the forecast period 26
3.3.2. Capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.25% over the forecast period 28
3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period 30
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 32
3.4.1. Protection of energy infrastructure and combating drug trafficking will be the key factors driving homeland security 32
3.4.2. Azerbaijan falls under the some risk category on the Terrorism Index 33
3.4.3. Azerbaijani faces some risk of acts of terrorism 34
3.4.4. Azerbaijan has a terrorism index score of 1.2 36
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 37
3.5.1. Azerbaijans defense budget is expected to register moderate growth over 2019-2023 37
3.5.2. Azerbaijani defense expenditure is relatively small when compared to the leading defense spenders 39
3.5.3. Azerbaijan spent 3.8% of its GDP on defense in 2018 40
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers 41
3.6.1. Top Defense Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - Projections over 2018-2023 41
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 42
4.1. Import Market Dynamics 43
4.1.1. Azerbaijans reliance on military imports is expected to decline over the forecast period 43
4.1.2. Azerbaijan imports the majority of its arms from Russia 44
4.1.3. Armored vehicles, missiles and ships dominate Azerbaijani defense imports 45
4.2. Export Market Dynamics 46
4.2.1. Azerbaijans defense exports are negligible, however, they are expected to increase considerably over the forecast period 46
5. Industry Dynamics 47
5.1. Market Regulation 47
5.1.1. Azerbaijans foreign investment policy prohibits FDI in the defense sector 47
5.2. Market Entry Route 47
5.2.1. Budgeting Process 47
5.2.2. Government-to-government deals form an attractive entry route for foreign manufacturers 48
6. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 49
6.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 49
6.1.1. The majority of defense equipment in Azerbaijan is supplied by foreign manufacturers 49
7. Business Environment and Country Risk 50
7.1. Economic Performance 50
7.1.1. GDP Per Capita 50
7.1.2. Gross Domestic Product 51
7.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion) 52
7.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion) 53
7.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income 54
7.1.6. LCU per USD (Period Average) 55
7.1.7. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP 56
7.1.8. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP 57
7.1.9. Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP 57
7.1.10. Services Exports as a Percentage of GDP 58
7.1.11. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion) 59
7.1.12. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 61
7.1.13. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion) 62
8. Appendix 63
8.1. About GlobalData 63
8.2. Disclaimer 63

List Of Tables


Table 1: Azerbaijani Army Strength 13
Table 2: Azerbaijani Air Force Strength 16
Table 3: Azerbaijani Navy Strength 17
Table 4: Azerbaijan - Future Procurement Programs 18
Table 5: Azerbaijan - Future Procurement Programs 18
Table 6: Azerbaijani Defense Expenditure (AZN Billion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 21
Table 7: Azerbaijani GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 24
Table 8: Azerbaijani Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 26
Table 9: Azerbaijani Defense Capital Expenditure (AZN Billion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 28
Table 10: Azerbaijani Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 30
Table 11: Terrorism Index, 2018 34
Table 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2014-2018 vs 2019-2023 37
Table 13: Top Azerbaijani Defense Sectors by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 41
Table 14: Azerbaijan - Budget Formation Timetable 47
Table 15: Competitive Landscape of the Azerbaijani Defense Industry 49

List Of Figures


Figure 1: Azerbaijani Defense Expenditure (in AZN Billion), 2014-2023 21
Figure 2: Azerbaijani Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 22
Figure 3: Azerbaijani GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 25
Figure 4: Azerbaijani Defense Expenditure Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 27
Figure 5: Azerbaijani Defense Capital Expenditure (AZN Billion), 2014-2023 29
Figure 6: Azerbaijani Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 29
Figure 7: Azerbaijani Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 31
Figure 8: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 33
Figure 9: Terrorism Index, 2018 36
Figure 10: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2014-2018 vs 2019-2023 38
Figure 11: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2018 and 2023 39
Figure 12: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018 40
Figure 13: Azerbaijani Defense Imports (US$ Million), 2013-2017 43
Figure 14: Azerbaijani Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 44
Figure 15: Azerbaijani Defense Imports by Category (%), 2013-2017 45
Figure 16: Azerbaijani GDP Per Capita (US$), 2015-2025 50
Figure 17: Azerbaijani GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025 51
Figure 18: Azerbaijani Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 52
Figure 19: Azerbaijani Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 53
Figure 20: Azerbaijani Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2014 54
Figure 21: LCU per USD (US$), 2015-2025 55
Figure 22: Azerbaijani Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 56
Figure 23: Azerbaijani Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 57
Figure 24: Azerbaijani Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 57
Figure 25: Azerbaijani Services Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 58
Figure 26: Azerbaijani Net Foreign Direct Investment (BoP, Current US$ Billion) 2005-2014 60
Figure 27: Azerbaijani Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 61
Figure 28: Azerbaijani Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 62

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